Home |
Search |
Today's Posts |
#1
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
PV, NPER, PER and FV
I am trying to simulate some market returns for a retirement investment
portfolio. I have the PMT function working well. example: want income of $250,000, for 32 years, 3% withdraw rate, overall portfolio value (PV) is $5,097,000. This is only an estimate- the purpose was to find the aprox value of an investment portfolio which would yield $250k of income. On another spreadsheet I was trying to calculate an ammortization table to know how much principal and how much interest makes up the $5,100,000. My confusion is with the NPER and PER inputs- what do these mean? Is one the 32 years and the other which of the 32 years it's calculating? |
#2
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
PV, NPER, PER and FV
Fred Smith wrote: I can't help you with the NPER and PER, because I don't know what function you are referring to. However, it's easy to calculate the interest and principal portion using simple math. The principal is, of course, $5,097,000. The interest is Total Payments - Principal, or 250000*32-5097000 = 2,903,000 -- Regards, Fred "jIM" wrote in message oups.com... I am trying to simulate some market returns for a retirement investment portfolio. I have the PMT function working well. example: want income of $250,000, for 32 years, 3% withdraw rate, overall portfolio value (PV) is $5,097,000. This is only an estimate- the purpose was to find the aprox value of an investment portfolio which would yield $250k of income. On another spreadsheet I was trying to calculate an ammortization table to know how much principal and how much interest makes up the $5,100,000. My confusion is with the NPER and PER inputs- what do these mean? Is one the 32 years and the other which of the 32 years it's calculating? I am using the IPMT function- what is difference between NPER and PER? |
#3
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
PV, NPER, PER and FV
You figured out the difference correctly in your first post. If I have
to pay back in 32 payments, nper=32. For the 4th payment per=4. HTH Kostis Vezerides jIM wrote: Fred Smith wrote: I can't help you with the NPER and PER, because I don't know what function you are referring to. However, it's easy to calculate the interest and principal portion using simple math. The principal is, of course, $5,097,000. The interest is Total Payments - Principal, or 250000*32-5097000 = 2,903,000 -- Regards, Fred "jIM" wrote in message oups.com... I am trying to simulate some market returns for a retirement investment portfolio. I have the PMT function working well. example: want income of $250,000, for 32 years, 3% withdraw rate, overall portfolio value (PV) is $5,097,000. This is only an estimate- the purpose was to find the aprox value of an investment portfolio which would yield $250k of income. On another spreadsheet I was trying to calculate an ammortization table to know how much principal and how much interest makes up the $5,100,000. My confusion is with the NPER and PER inputs- what do these mean? Is one the 32 years and the other which of the 32 years it's calculating? I am using the IPMT function- what is difference between NPER and PER? |
#4
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
vezerid wrote: You figured out the difference correctly in your first post. If I have to pay back in 32 payments, nper=32. For the 4th payment per=4. HTH Kostis Vezerides jIM wrote: Fred Smith wrote: I can't help you with the NPER and PER, because I don't know what function you are referring to. However, it's easy to calculate the interest and principal portion using simple math. The principal is, of course, $5,097,000. The interest is Total Payments - Principal, or 250000*32-5097000 = 2,903,000 -- Regards, Fred "jIM" wrote in message oups.com... I am trying to simulate some market returns for a retirement investment portfolio. I have the PMT function working well. example: want income of $250,000, for 32 years, 3% withdraw rate, overall portfolio value (PV) is $5,097,000. This is only an estimate- the purpose was to find the aprox value of an investment portfolio which would yield $250k of income. On another spreadsheet I was trying to calculate an ammortization table to know how much principal and how much interest makes up the $5,100,000. My confusion is with the NPER and PER inputs- what do these mean? Is one the 32 years and the other which of the 32 years it's calculating? I am using the IPMT function- what is difference between NPER and PER? So I have the correct definition of the variables, the IPMT function, PMT function and FV function do not appear to "mesh". Here is the problem I am trying to solve: Have $X at age 68, which must generate $Y of income from age 68-100 (32 years). $Y must increase by inflation percentage a and $X will change from market growth b and reduce by a*$Y each year. I have the spreadsheet set up, but with PV it suggests amount is $5,097,000 for an income needed of $250,000. When I crunch spending this in reverse, it does not last 32 years. I assume the inflation factor is the error, but when I set the inflation to zero percent, the money lasted longer, but not 32 years. So the root cause questions: which function would you use to determine the principal amount needed to generate an annual income of $250,000 for 32 years, assuming a 3% withdraw rate and an ending balance of zero? which function would you use to show the ammortization table for this draw down? Some of money each year would be interest and some of it each year would be principal. My goal is to have a table to look at average market returns during the retirement. |
#5
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
jIM wrote:
Here is the problem I am trying to solve: Have $X at age 68, which must generate $Y of income from age 68-100 (32 years). $Y must increase by inflation percentage a and $X will change from market growth b and reduce by a*$Y each year. [....] So the root cause questions: which function would you use to determine the principal amount needed to generate an annual income of $250,000 for 32 years, assuming a 3% withdraw rate and an ending balance of zero? Perhaps the root of your confusion is: those are two very different problem statements, with unrelated answers. Moreover, neither of those problem statements seems to match the example solution that you offered in your initial posting. In your initial posting, "$5,097,000" (really $5,097,191) seems to be the result of the formula PV(3%,32,-250000). That tells you what investment is needed to generate an annual income of $250,000 with an annual investment __return__ (not a withdrawal rate) of 3%. Your second question above suffers from the same ambiguous use of terms, because in one part you ask about generating a fixed income of $250,000 and in another part you seem to ask about a variable income (withdrawal) of 3% (of the investment balance, presumably. Since your first question above is the more realistic one -- and the more tractable problem to solve -- I will address that. I believe you are asking: what initial investment (X) is required, assuming that the initial income (Y) is $250,000? Assume the inflation rate is 3% (applies to Y), and assume that your expected average annual return is 5%. You could compute X with the following array formula (use ctrl-shift-Enter to compute): =SUM(PV(5%, ROW(A1:A32)-ROW($A$1)+1, 0, FV(3%, ROW(A1:A32)-ROW($A$1), 0, 250000))) My answer is $5,744,716. For this formulation, I assume that the income is taken at the end of each investment year. That is, the first $250,000 is withdrawn after one year of investment returns. The array formula might be easier to understand by constructing the following table (copy A1:B1 down through A32:B32): A1: =PV(5%, ROW()-ROW($A$1)+1, 0, -B1) B1: =FV(3%, ROW()-ROW($B$1), 0, -250000) B1 is the income for the year, adjusted for 3% inflation. A1 is the investment required to generate that income, assuming an average return of 5%. The total required investment is the sum of the PVs, namely SUM(A1:A32). (For below, assume that is in A33.) I confirm this by constructing the following table. The table demonstrates some subtle assumptions. If you make different assumptions, you need to adjust the PV() and FV() formulas accordingly. My table is (copy C2 down through C33 and copy D2 down through D32): C1: =A33 D1: =250000 E1: D1 / C1 / (1+5%) C2: =IF(ROUND(C1-D1,0)<=0, 0, C1*(1+5%) - D1) D2: =D1*(1+3%) C1 is the investment balance at the beginning of each year. D1 is the income withdrawn at the end of each year. E1 is the percentage of the investment balance withdrawn. You asked about "interest". If you want to compute the "taxable income" each year, that depends on the type of investment. For cash investments, the taxable income is the 5% return. For securities, the taxable capital gain is the income withdrawn, assuming you could sell only as much as you need. Does that help? |
#6
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
|
#7
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
|
#8
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
[Taking the liberty of quoting from your two postings out of
context....] jIM wrote: I might debate that the "sum of the PV's is the total amount needed", [....] I need to be convinced the PV in column A is for real... The "proof" was intended to be the table that I constructed in columns C and D. But in abstract terms, column A is the PV of the part of the investment required to fund the future withdrawal (income) required at the end of the year presented by the row. "The whole is equal to the sum of its parts". why would value of this be declining to generate an increasing income? Because the investment rate of return (5%) exceeds the inflation rate (3%). The PV() formula rolls back the future required withdrawal (income) to the same time frame in each row, namely to the initial investment at the beginning of the first year. What is purpose of column C? The table in columns C and D is what you called an "amortization" table. You could add an "interest" column, if you like. Column C represents the investment balance at the beginning of the year. C1 is the initial investment. C2 et al are the previous balance plus the investment return (presumed to be 5%) minus the income withdrawal in column D, which grows at the presumed inflation rate of 3%. Equivalently, C2 et al are the ending investment balance for the previous row. Thus, C33 should be zero, per your requirement ("an ending balance of zero"). Since C1 is the sum of the PVs in column A, that should convince you that "the sum of the PVs is the total amount needed". QED ;-). E2:E33 in my spreadhseet came out as divide by zeros (was that first percentage inverted?) Later you said that you corrected your formula errors. But to address your last question.... Column E computes the percentage of the ending investment balance that is withdrawn. The formula is D1 / (C1*(1+5%)) because C1 is the beginning balance, not the ending balance. Algebraically, that is the same as (D1 / C1) / (1+5%), which is how Excel evaluates D1 / C1 / (1+5%). |
#9
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
|
#10
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
|
#11
Posted to microsoft.public.excel.misc
|
|||
|
|||
calculating invest returns using FV, PV, IPMT
What is this doing?
ROW()-ROW($B$7) ROW()-ROW($A$2)+1 For the PV() formula, I wrote: A1: =PV(5%, ROW()-ROW($A$1)+1, 0, -B1) ROW()-ROW($A$1)+1 computes the number of years (periods) to discount over. This evaluates to 1, 2, 3, etc for rows A1, A2, A3, which represent years 1, 2, 3 respectively. Recall that I assume that the withdrawal is at the end of the year; so the investment appreciates in the first year. ROW() is the current row number. ROW($A$1) is the row number for the first row of the table. This formulation works even if the table is subsequently moved or cut-and-pasted (not copied), for example by inserting title rows and columns. For the FV() formula, I wrote: B1: =FV(3%, ROW()-ROW($B$1), 0, -250000) ROW()-ROW($B$1) computes the number of inflation years (periods). This evaluates to 0, 1, 2 etc for rows B1, B2, B3, which represents years 1, 2, 3 respectively. We want zero inflation for the first year; one inflation factor (i.e. 250000*(1+3%)^1) the second year; etc. The choice of $B$1 or $A$1 is arbitrary because the row number is the same. So I use $A$1 in the array formula SUM(PV(...,FV(...))). |
Reply |
Thread Tools | Search this Thread |
Display Modes | |
|
|