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Bob I,
What would I need to take into account so that this is realistic? Isn't the fact that we take the customers most recent years worth of bills and apply inflation good enough? The Solar Electric system is paid for upfront by the customer if it's cash otherwise if it's financed we again take into account the interest on the loan. This seems logical because inflation will apply regardless of the loan amount or continued utility bills. Solar is the difference between buying a house and renting one. Inflation will apply either way. The 4% is an inflation number I just threw out there, actually studding the last 25 years here in CA inflation from Utility providers is almost 7% over each previous year. With such high cost of utility supplied electricity, Solar here in CA, is a fast growing industry. Germany and Japan are way ahead of the US in number of installed systems. This is not some 1980 scheme! It works because solid technology, attractive design and we have 25 year product performance based warranties from some of the biggest businesses in the world, BP, Mitsubishi, Sharp, SunPower, etc.. It also works because CA state pays nearly 1/3 the cost in way of rebates for home owners. For business not only do they pay rebates but with accelerated depreciation most business pay only 1/3 of the initial cost. I was hoping to learn here, and I hope we both have. If you live in CA or NJ you should check out solar, while it's not economical for those with very little electric usage, it can save you thousands, provided needed green energy with localized distribution. 99% of our customers are stilled tied to the utility (you must be tied to the utility to receive rebates) so they experience no lifestyle changes. The utility agrees to bill our customers once yearly and buys back the extra power they produce. This allows our customers to make extra power in the summer, sell it to the utility (for credits) and then buy it back in the winter. Eric Like Fred said the formula is simply the NPER financial function. BUT that use in this case is a piece of fiction. That assumes that money is free, there will be no increase in the house insurance, no increase in the apraisal of the property and taxes, that the electric company will waive the customer or meter charges. Now given how all that has been ignored, I would not be inclined to believe that the "system" would provide all the electricity either. Actually this reminds me a lot of all the schemes that popped up around 1980! |
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