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For those of you who are good in TIME SERIES ANALYSIS.
1. Please help me with interpreting the impulse response reaction functions generated from estimating a VAR model. I understand the X-axis (vertical line) represents the time period (months, quarters, years etc.). What does the Y-axis (vertical line) represent? Is it percentage points, percentage changes, unit change or what? 2. What about reading the function itself? Normally the interpretation goes like €“ a one standard deviation shock (increase) in one variable (say money supply) will cause another variable (say interest rate) to respond ( increase) by so much (reading from the Y-axis). Now what is this one standard deviation in terms of percent point? i.e how do I convert the one STD in to percentage point so that the interpretation would go like €“ one std increase (which is so much percentage point increase) in money supply would lead to so much increase/decrease (the amount shown in the Y-axis) in interest rate. The point is one €śstandard deviation shock€ť sounds too technical for most policy makers. Thanks to all of you |
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