I realize that it gets very complex. That's why I was hoping a computer
program could help me.

And to Jason- I'm confused as to how you think it would be considered
cheating.

"Jon Peltier" wrote:

The probability that X happens is the number of times that X happens divided
by the number of times anything happens.

P(rock) = N(rock)/(N(rock)+N(paper)+N(scissors))

Looking for patterns is much more complicated. The probability that a rock
follows a rock is:

P(rock follows rock) = N(rock follows rock)/(N(rock follows rock)+N(paper
follows rock)+N(scissors follows rock))

so now you can only consider the trials after the previous trial was a rock.

And it gets more complex from here.

- Jon
-------
Jon Peltier, Microsoft Excel MVP
Tutorials and Custom Solutions
http://PeltierTech.com
_______


"MNKeeper" wrote in message
...
I heard that you can use Microsoft Xcel to compute probability. I've
written
down about 30 different games of rock, paper, scissors in an attempt to
find
patterns of what people do. I'd like to enter this information into the
computer and then just have the computer tell me what is most likely to
come
next during a game.

ie. If I told Xcel that someone did rock, rock, scissors, could Xcel then
tell me what is most likely to come next from the information it's already
been given about previous games?

Thanks very much.