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vandenberg p
 
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Default Probabilty - Binomial - a simulation game?

Rob:

Hope it works for you. Post back if you have any further questions.

Pieter Vandenberg

Rob Eyes wrote:
: Pieter, that is extremely generous of you. Thanks you so VERY much!

: "vandenberg p" wrote:

: Hello:
:
: I think I have a little model of what you wanted. It is not complete,
: it does not have all feathers that you mentioned. But it should
: give you a start. Here is the file:
:
: ftp://rohan.sdsu.edu/faculty/vandenberg/Game.zip
:
: When you try to use it, your macro security will probably complain.
: You will need to allow the macros to execute.
:
: Pieter Vandenberg
:
:
: Rob Eyes <Rob wrote:
: : Hello,
: : Life has presented me with an opportunity to teach some math to
: : children/young adults with challenging backgrounds. Many have come a long way
: : and want to pursue more challenging material. I want to teach them more about
: : probability and want to design an Excel simulation. My idea was to get them
: : to work out how variables altered probability.
:
: : Specifically I am looking for help to develop a game where students would
: : alter variables "probability" (expressed as a ratio or percentage) of picking
: : a colored ball from a bag. So if they said there were three red balls, 4
: : blue, six white etc. the simulation would calculate the probability of each
: : ball. And I'd like to show them the impact of selecting "out" or "in" where
: : "out" is keeping the ball (and all others selected) out of the bag for
: : subsequent turns and "in" is putting the ball back in the bag. Then a random
: : generator would be used to "pick" the next ball and excel would display a
: : cell of the matching ball color. I then want excel to show some statistics
: : like comparison of theoretical probability to outcome (to show sample size
: : variance), the number of times in a row a particular ball was drawn (as in a
: : streak).
:
: : I know the math but am a baby beginner at Excel programming. It looks like
: : from the help that a Binomial distribution is the function with a rounded
: : random function for selection. Am I on the right track? Any ideas on "out"
: : and "in"?
:
: : Thanks very much for your help
:
: : Rob
: