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I was needing a formula in EXCEL to calculate the future value based
on initial investment, number of years AND regular investments of $XXX per month during the years. I've tried several formulas, they give neg numbers or results that do NOT seem the same as online calulators, off by as much as 5%! thanks for help. |
#2
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Crackles
The FV function should work and match any correct on line calculator. The sign depends on whether you are considering the annuity as an investment or an outflow of money. In either case the absolute value should be okay. You did not mention and interest rate, but, usually that is a factor, and is the first argument in the Excel FV formula. You need to make sure the periodicity of the interest matches the periodicity of the payments. That is if you are making monthly payments and are using an annual percentage rate, you need to divide the rate by 12. The second argument is the number of periods, often months or years. The third argument is the regulear investment amount. The fourth argument is the present value, which should correspond to your initial investment. There is a fifth argument that indicates whether the first, and subsequent, payments are at the beginning or the end of the period. That could cause a minor difference if you assume end of period and the on line calculator uses the beginning, but, unless it is a high interest rate and very few periods, it won't amount to 5%. So, the formula =FV(0,12,100,0,0) would return -$1,200 since you would be investing (or paying) $100 per period for 12 periods and have no interest, no initial investment, and since there is no interest it would not matter whether you paid at the beginning or end of the period. If you don't like the fact that it returns a negative $1,200 you can make the 100 a -100 or put a negative sign in front of the FV. Good luck. Ken On Aug 20, 3:50 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote: I was needing a formula in EXCEL to calculate the future value based on initial investment, number of years AND regular investments of $XXX per month during the years. I've tried several formulas, they give neg numbers or results that do NOT seem the same as online calulators, off by as much as 5%! thanks for help. |
#3
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On Aug 20, 12:50 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote:
I was needing a formula in EXCEL to calculate the future value based on initial investment, number of years AND regular investments of $XXX per month during the years. I've tried several formulas, they give neg numbers The negative results might be due to the fact that the formulas require that inflow and outflow have opposite signs; and you can choose the signs arbitrarily (i.e. negative or positive for inflow, and the opposite sign for outflow) so that the function result is always positive. But in this case, FV() should return a positive value if you use the correct sign for the input parameters from the investor's point of view, namely negative initial investment and negative periodic investments (payments). For example, consider an initial investment of $10,000 and monthly investments of $100, with a return of 1% per month compounded over 5 years. =fv(1%, 12*5, -100, -100000) This results in the (correctly) positive value of $189,836.64 (rounded). or results that do NOT seem the same as online calulators, off by as much as 5%! There can be many explanations for such differences. One that comes to mind is differences in determining the monthly rate of return based on an annualized rate. If you provide the URL for one or more of the online calculators, I might be able to provide a more specific (and perhaps more correct) explanation. |
#4
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On Mon, 20 Aug 2007 17:56:42 -0700, joeu2004
sayd the following: On Aug 20, 12:50 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote: I was needing a formula in EXCEL to calculate the future value based on initial investment, number of years AND regular investments of $XXX per month during the years. I've tried several formulas, they give neg numbers The negative results might be due to the fact that the formulas require that inflow and outflow have opposite signs; and you can choose the signs arbitrarily (i.e. negative or positive for inflow, and the opposite sign for outflow) so that the function result is always positive. But in this case, FV() should return a positive value if you use the correct sign for the input parameters from the investor's point of view, namely negative initial investment and negative periodic investments (payments). For example, consider an initial investment of $10,000 and monthly investments of $100, with a return of 1% per month compounded over 5 years. =fv(1%, 12*5, -100, -100000) This results in the (correctly) positive value of $189,836.64 (rounded). or results that do NOT seem the same as online calulators, off by as much as 5%! There can be many explanations for such differences. One that comes to mind is differences in determining the monthly rate of return based on an annualized rate. If you provide the URL for one or more of the online calculators, I might be able to provide a more specific (and perhaps more correct) explanation. http://www.dinkytown.net/java/CACompoundSavings.html THAT ONE doesn't jive with Excel's results...Don't know why either.. |
#5
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On Aug 20, 9:01 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote:
On Mon, 20 Aug 2007 17:56:42 -0700, joeu2004 wrote: For example, consider an initial investment of $10,000 and monthly investments of $100, with a return of 1% per month compounded over 5 years. =fv(1%, 12*5, -100, -100000) This results in the (correctly) positive value of $189,836.64 (rounded). http://www.dinkytown.net/java/CACompoundSavings.html THAT ONE doesn't jive with Excel's results...Don't know why either. You are probably entering incorrect parameters. That calculator matches my result above (rounded to the dollar) when I enter 12% for "rate of return", select "compound monthly" and uncheckmark "make deposits at the start of each period". If you describe the parameters that you are entering, I might be able to explain any difference that you see, if the above explanation does not. But I should note that jurisdiction might also be a factor. Note that that is a calculator for Canadian savings account, whereas I am speaking from a US perspective; and your jurisdiction might be something else altogether, for I know. I know that Canadian __loans__ rely on "semi-annual compounding" (a misnomer, IMHO). I don't know if Canadian __savings__ accounts do. I suspect not, since the calculator matches my formula, as I noted above. |
#6
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Errata....
On Aug 20, 10:47 pm, I wrote: But I should note that jurisdiction might also be a factor. [....] I know that Canadian __loans__ rely on "semi-annual compounding" (a misnomer, IMHO). I don't know if Canadian __savings__ accounts do. I suspect not, since the calculator matches my formula, as I noted above. GIGO! Since I asked the calculator to compound monthly, of course it did. That proves nothing about the compounding frequency for the "typical" Canadian savings account. On the other hand, the calculator does not offer the option to do semi-annual compounding. That might be indicative of Canadian options; or it simply might be indicative of the calculator's designer knowledge. =fv(1%, 12*5, -100, -100000) This results in the (correctly) positive value of $189,836.64 (rounded). http://www.dinkytown.net/java/CACompoundSavings.html THAT ONE doesn't jive with Excel's results...Don't know why either. [....] That calculator matches my result above The calculator also matches (within $1) my computation when compounding daily, namely either of the following: =fv((1+12%/365)^(365/12)-1, 12*5, -100, -100000) =fv(fv(12%/365,365/12,0,-1)-1, 12*5, -100, -100000) Result: $190,373.63 (rounded). Calculator result: $190,373. But that does not make it right(!). Because (my US) banks calculate interest on the balance after closing, I believe the following are more correct. Monthly compounding (result: $189,918.31): =fv(12%/12, 12*5, -100, -100000, 1) Daily compounding (result: $190,455.82): =fv((1+12%/365)^(365/12)-1, 12*5, -100, -100000, 1) In either case (type=0 or type=1), my computation does not match the calculator's results for the following cases. I am still trying to figure out why not. Quarterly compounding (calculator result: $188,752): =fv(12%/4, 4*5, -100*12/4, -100000, 0) [$188,672.24] =fv(12%/4, 4*5, -100*12,4, -100000, 1) [$188,914.07] Annual compounding (calculator result: $184,268): =fv(12%, 5, -100*12, -100000, 0) [$183,857.59] =fv(12%, 5, -100*12, -100000, 1) [$184,772.40] Nonetheless, the type=0 formulas come within 0.04% to 0.22% of the calculator's results. "Close enough for government work" ;-). (Then again, the differences increases with the number of years for the investment.) HTH. Again, if you post your parameters, we might be able to provide a better explanation of any disparity. |
#7
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On Mon, 20 Aug 2007 22:47:42 -0700, joeu2004
sayd the following: On Aug 20, 9:01 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote: On Mon, 20 Aug 2007 17:56:42 -0700, joeu2004 wrote: For example, consider an initial investment of $10,000 and monthly investments of $100, with a return of 1% per month compounded over 5 years. =fv(1%, 12*5, -100, -100000) This results in the (correctly) positive value of $189,836.64 (rounded). http://www.dinkytown.net/java/CACompoundSavings.html THAT ONE doesn't jive with Excel's results...Don't know why either. You are probably entering incorrect parameters. That calculator matches my result above (rounded to the dollar) when I enter 12% for "rate of return", select "compound monthly" and uncheckmark "make deposits at the start of each period". If you describe the parameters that you are entering, I might be able to explain any difference that you see, if the above explanation does not. OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. thank you |
#8
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On Aug 21, 12:35 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote:
OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. =fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? But you are talking about mutual funds, not savings. I would not estimate the "total return" over 25 years in that manner. |
#9
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On Aug 21, 11:22 am, I wrote:
But that does not make it right(!). Because (my US) banks calculate interest on the balance after closing, I believe the following are more correct. Monthly compounding (result: $189,918.31): =fv(12%/12, 12*5, -100, -100000, 1) Ignore that. For a number of reasons, my comment above is not relevant. Too complicated to explain. |
#10
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On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 12:49:19 -0700, joeu2004
sayd the following: On Aug 21, 12:35 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote: OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. =fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? A few of the online mutual fund investment calcs are different is what I mean. But you are talking about mutual funds, not savings. I would not estimate the "total return" over 25 years in that manner. I'm told 8-12% is a good range, got to settle on one so I picked 10% as an avg rate of return in the mutual funds arena... |
#11
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On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 12:49:19 -0700, joeu2004
sayd the following: =fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? In Excel with that formula I get $138,712 What is up? Yours Truly, Crackles R. McFarly It's a silly website but aren't they all? http://cracklesmcfarly.blogspot.com/ |
#12
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"Crackles McFarly" wrote...
.... OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. Is your 10% return an effective annual rate or nominal compounded monthly? Are your additional investments at the beginning or end of each month? I'll assume at the end of every month. First assuming 10% nominal compounded monthly. FV: =FV(10%/12,300,-100,-500) returns 138,711.81. Next assuming 10% effective annual. FV: =FV(NOMINAL(10%,12)/12,300,-100,-500) returns 128,749.84. |
#13
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On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 15:13:50 -0700, "Harlan Grove"
sayd the following: "Crackles McFarly" wrote... ... OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. Is your 10% return an effective annual rate or nominal compounded monthly? Are your additional investments at the beginning or end of each month? I'll assume at the end of every month. First assuming 10% nominal compounded monthly. FV: =FV(10%/12,300,-100,-500) returns 138,711.81. Next assuming 10% effective annual. FV: =FV(NOMINAL(10%,12)/12,300,-100,-500) returns 128,749.84. That 2nd formula gives an error of "#NAME?" And I am assuming a continual interest rate while placing exactly $100 in at the start of the month [or end if it makes this easier?] |
#14
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Lookup NOMINAL in help, it's part of the ATP (Analysis ToolPak), it comes
with Excel/Office. Keep the CD handy and do toolsadd-ins and select Analysis Toolpak and follow the instructions -- Regards, Peo Sjoblom "Crackles McFarly" wrote in message ... On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 15:13:50 -0700, "Harlan Grove" sayd the following: "Crackles McFarly" wrote... ... OK, here is my example I am using Initial investment of $500.00 With $100 per month, every month. At a return rate of exactly 10% For a period of exactly 25 years. Is your 10% return an effective annual rate or nominal compounded monthly? Are your additional investments at the beginning or end of each month? I'll assume at the end of every month. First assuming 10% nominal compounded monthly. FV: =FV(10%/12,300,-100,-500) returns 138,711.81. Next assuming 10% effective annual. FV: =FV(NOMINAL(10%,12)/12,300,-100,-500) returns 128,749.84. That 2nd formula gives an error of "#NAME?" And I am assuming a continual interest rate while placing exactly $100 in at the start of the month [or end if it makes this easier?] |
#15
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On Aug 21, 1:25 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote:
=fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? A few of the online mutual fund investment calcs are different is what I mean. When I asked you to provide a URL for an online calculator, I meant the URL of an online calculator that was giving different results, "off by as much as 5%" you wrote. But you are talking about mutual funds, not savings. I would not estimate the "total return" over 25 years in that manner. I'm told 8-12% is a good range, got to settle on one so I picked 10% as an avg rate of return in the mutual funds arena. I was not offering an opinion about your assumptions. Geesh, there are enough pundits in these newsgroups already! I was commenting on the methodology as it relates to estimating future growth of mutual funds. First, 10% is probably an APY. Therefore, the average monthly growth rate is not simply 10%/12, which is used in the "dinkytown" savings account calculator. Instead, it is (1+10%)^(1/12)-1 or rate(12,0,-1,1+10%). (But sometimes RATE() has trouble determining an answer unless we provide a "guess".) Conversely, if you want use a simple calculator like "dinkytown", the rate of return to use is 12*((1+10%)^(1/12)-1) -- approximately 9.57%. Second, if mutual fund investment calculator computes "total return" (I suspect it does), that might include an estimate of reinvested dividends. That is the number used in prospectuses. That complicates the computation enormously. HTH. I'm sure I have left off some other things. |
#16
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"Crackles McFarly" wrote...
"Harlan Grove" sayd the following: .... Next assuming 10% effective annual. FV: =FV(NOMINAL(10%,12)/12,300,-100,-500) returns 128,749.84. That 2nd formula gives an error of "#NAME?" Which means you don't have the Analysis ToolPak loaded. Fine, use =FV(1.1^(1/12)-1,300,-100,-500) And I am assuming a continual interest rate while placing exactly $100 in at the start of the month [or end if it makes this easier?] Yup, 10% effective annual interest rate, assuming you mean continuOUS COMPOUNDING since 'continual interest' has no meaning in Interest Theory, and could only be interpreted colloquially as meaning your mutual fund continues to pay you interest rather than becoming insolvent or taking the money and running away. |
#17
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On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 16:40:22 -0700, joeu2004
sayd the following: On Aug 21, 1:25 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote: =fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? A few of the online mutual fund investment calcs are different is what I mean. When I asked you to provide a URL for an online calculator, I meant the URL of an online calculator that was giving different results, "off by as much as 5%" you wrote. I overstated that a bit. It was more like $1,200 out of $250K in a 25 year period which aint close to 5%.. But you are talking about mutual funds, not savings. I would not estimate the "total return" over 25 years in that manner. I'm told 8-12% is a good range, got to settle on one so I picked 10% as an avg rate of return in the mutual funds arena. I was not offering an opinion about your assumptions. Geesh, there are enough pundits in these newsgroups already! I was commenting on the methodology as it relates to estimating future growth of mutual funds. First, 10% is probably an APY. Therefore, the average monthly growth rate is not simply 10%/12, which is used in the "dinkytown" savings account calculator. Instead, it is (1+10%)^(1/12)-1 or rate(12,0,-1,1+10%). (But sometimes RATE() has trouble determining an answer unless we provide a "guess".) Conversely, if you want use a simple calculator like "dinkytown", the rate of return to use is 12*((1+10%)^(1/12)-1) -- approximately 9.57%. Second, if mutual fund investment calculator computes "total return" (I suspect it does), that might include an estimate of reinvested dividends. That is the number used in prospectuses. That complicates the computation enormously. Yeah, none of these online calculators seem to take into account how each month you take nothing OUT and simply grow by way of rates and reinvesting your gains [which has to be a gigantic factor i'd think?] HTH. I'm sure I have left off some other things. It helped.. ;) |
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On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 15:41:33 -0700, "Peo Sjoblom"
sayd the following: Lookup NOMINAL in help, it's part of the ATP (Analysis ToolPak), it comes with Excel/Office. Keep the CD handy and do toolsadd-ins and select Analysis Toolpak and follow the instructions -- Regards, Peo Sjoblom Ok, thnx.. |
#19
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On Aug 21, 1:29 pm, Crackles McFarly wrote:
On Tue, 21 Aug 2007 12:49:19 -0700, joeu2004 wrote: =fv(10%/12, 12*25, -100, -500) Results in $21,838.02. Calculator result: $21,838. Where's the error you are talking about? In Excel with that formula I get $138,712[.] What is up? My bad! Looks like I typed 10 instead of 25. Made the same mistake with the calculator; but that's easy because that calculator defaults to 10 years. |
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